Predicting the excretion of feces, urine and nitrogen using support vector regression: A case study with Holstein dry cows
Keywords:
cow farming pollution, feces/urine excretion prediction, nitrogen excretion prediction, non-parametric model, SVR techniqueAbstract
Predicting the excretion of feces, urine and nitrogen (N) from dairy cows is an effective way to prevent and control the environmental pollution caused by scaled farming. The traditional prediction methods such as pollutant generation coefficient (PGC) and mathematical model based on linear regression (LR) may be limited by prediction range and regression function assumption, and sometimes may deviate from the actual condition. In order to solve these problems, the support vector regression (SVR) was applied for predicting the cows' feces, urine and N excretions, taking Holstein dry cows as a case study. SVR is a typical non-parametric machine learning model that does not require any specific assumptions about the regression function in advance and only by learning the training sample data, and also it can fit the function closest to the actual in most cases. To evaluate prediction accuracy effectively, the SVR technique was compared with the LR and radial basis function artificial neural network (RBF-ANN) methods, using the required sample data obtained from actual feeding experiments. The prediction results indicate that the proposed technique is superior to the other two conventional (especially LR) methods in predicting the main indicators of feces, urine, and N excretions of Holstein dry cows. Keywords: cow farming pollution, feces/urine excretion prediction, nitrogen excretion prediction, non-parametric model, SVR technique DOI: 10.25165/j.ijabe.20201302.4781 Citation: Fu Q, Shen W Z, Wei X L, Yin Y L, Zheng P, Zhang Y G, et al. Predicting the excretion of feces, urine and nitrogen using support vector regression: A case study with Holstein dry cows. Int J Agric & Biol Eng, 2020; 13(2): 48–56.References
Li Y, Pan L G, Li A, Wang B H. Suitability evaluation of remediation technology for polluted farmland. Int J Agric & Biol Eng, 2015; 8(2): 39–45.
Franzluebbers A J, Lemaire G, de Faccio Carvalho P C, Sulc R M.. Toward agricultural sustainability through integrated crop-livestock systems: Environmental outcomes. Agric, Ecosyst & Environ, 2014; 190: 1–3.
Fan M, Zhu H G, Ma J Q. Measurement and analysis of biogas fertilizer use efficiency, nutrient distribution and influencing factors of biogas residues and slurry on pig farms. Int J Agric & Biol Eng, 2014; 7(1): 60–69.
Abbasi I H R, Abbasi F, El-Hack M A, Abdel-Latif M A, Soomro R N, Hayat K, et al. Critical analysis of excessive utilization of crude protein in ruminants ration: impact on environmental ecosystem and opportunities of supplementation of limiting amino acids-a review. Environ Sci & Pollut Res Int., 2018; 25(1): 181–190.
Anwar Z, Irshad M, Ping A, Hafeez F, Yang S. Water extractable plant nutrients in soils amended with cow manure co-composted with maple tree residues. Int J Agric & Biol Eng, 2018; 11(5): 167–173.
Mallin M A, Cahoon L B. Industrialized animal production—A major source of nutrient and microbial pollution to aquatic ecosystems. Popul & Environ, 2003; 24(5): 369–385.
Cambra-López M, Aarnink A J A, Zhao Y, Calvet S, Torres A G. Airborne particulate matter from livestock production systems: a review of an air pollution problem. Environ Pollut, 2010; 158(1): 1–17.
Mallin M A, Mciver M R, Robuck A R, Dickens A K. Industrial swine and poultry production causes chronic nutrient and fecal microbial stream pollution. Water, Air, & Soil Pollut, 2015; 226: 407.
Nansubuga I, Banadda N, Babu M, De Vrieze J, Verstraete W, Rabaey K. Enhancement of biogas potential of primary sludge by co-digestion with cow manure and brewery sludge. Int J Agric & Biol Eng, 2015; 8(4): 86–94.
Smith A P, Western A W. Predicting nitrogen dynamics in a dairy farming catchment using systems synthesis modelling. Agric Syst, 2013; 115(115): 144–154.
Qu Q B, Yang P, Zhai Z W, Zhang K Q. Prediction methods of major pollutants production in manure from large-scale livestock and poultry farms: A review. J Agric Resour & Environ, 2016; 33(5): 397–406. (in Chinese)
Gan L, Hu X. The pollutants from livestock and poultry farming in China-geographic distribution and drivers. Environ Sci Pollut Res Int, 2016; 23(9): 8470–8483.
Zhou T M, Fu Q, Zhu Y Q, Hu Z W, Yang F. Optimizing pollutant generation coefficients of livestock industry and mapping patterns of the pollutant constitution in China. Geographical Research, 2014; 33(4): 762–776. (in Chinese)
Fu Q, Wu G Y, Pan P, Wang W T. Analysis of livestock and poultry waste generation from 2000-2014 in Henan. J Agro-Environ Sci, 2017; 36(7): 1323–1329. (in Chinese)
Qu Q B, Yang P, Zhao R, Zhi S L, Zhai Z W, Ding F F, et al. Prediction of fecal nitrogen and phosphorus excretion for Chinese Holstein lactating dairy cows. J Anim Sci, 2017; 95(8): 3487–3496.
Wilkerson V A, Mertens D R, Casper D P. Prediction of excretion of manure and nitrogen by Holstein dairy cattle. J Dairy Sci, 1997; 80(12): 3193–3204.
Nennich T D, Harrison J H, Van Wieringen L M, Meyer D, Heinrichs A J, Weiss W P, et al. Prediction of manure and nutrient excretion from dairy cattle. J Dairy Sci, 2005; 88(10): 3721–3733.
Nennich T D, Harrison J H, Van Wieringen L M, St-Pierre N R, Kincaid R L, Wattiaux M A, Davidson D L, et al. Prediction and evaluation of urine and urinary nitrogen and mineral excretion from dairy cattle. J Dairy Sci, 2006; 89(1): 353–364.
Yan T, Frost J P, Agnew R E, Binnie R C, Mayne C S. Relationships among manure nitrogen output and dietary and animal factors in lactating dairy cows. J Dairy Sci, 2006; 89: 3981–3991.
Knowlton K F, Wilkerson V A, Casper D P, Mertens D R. Manure nutrient excretion by Jersey and Holstein cows. J Dairy Sci, 2010; 93(1): 407–412.
Higgs R J, Chase L E, Van Amburgh M E. Development and evaluation of equations in the Cornell Net Carbohydrate and Protein System to predict nitrogen excretion in lactating dairy cows. J Dairy Sci, 2012; 95(4): 2004–2014.
Jiao H P, Yan T, Mcdowell D A. Prediction of manure nitrogen and organic matter excretion for young Holstein cattle fed on grass silage-based diets. J Anim Sci, 2014; 92(7): 3042–3052.
Kebreab E, France J, Mills J A N, Allison R, Dijkstra J. A dynamic model of N metabolism in the lactating dairy cow and an assessment of impact of N excretion on the environment. J Anim Sci, 2002; 80(1): 248–259.
Dong R L, Zhao G Y, Chai L L, Beauchemin K A. Prediction of urinary and fecal nitrogen excretion by beef cattle. J Anim Sci, 2014; 92(10): 4669–4681.
[25] Dijkstra J, France J, Davies D R. Different mathematical approaches to estimating microbial protein supply in ruminants. J Dairy Sci, 1998; 81(12): 3370–3384.
Spek J W, Dijkstra J, Van Duinkerken G, Hendriks W H, Bannink A. Prediction of urinary nitrogen and urinary urea nitrogen excretion by lactating dairy cattle in northwestern Europe and North America: A meta-analysis. J Dairy Sci, 2013; 96(7): 4310–4322.
Schuba J, K H. Südekum, Pfeffer E, Jayanegara A. Excretion of faecal, urinary urea and urinary non-urea nitrogen by four ruminant species as influenced by dietary nitrogen intake: A meta-analysis. Livest Sci, 2017; 198: 82–88.
Yaslan Y, Bican B. Empirical mode decomposition based denoising method with support vector regression for time series prediction: A case study for electricity load forecasting. Meas, 2017; 103: 52–61.
Moghadam M P A, Pahlavani P, Bigdeli B. A new car-following model based on the epsilon-support vector regression method using the parameters tuning and data scaling techniques. Int J Civ Eng, 2017; 15(1): 1–14.
Yoo K H, Back J H, Na M G, Kim J H, Hur S, Kim C H. Prediction of golden time using SVR for recovering SIS under severe accidents. Ann Nucl Energy, 2016; 94: 102–108.
Das S P, Padhy S. A novel hybrid model using teaching-learning-based optimization and a support vector machine for commodity futures index forecasting. Int. J. Mach. Learn. Cybern., 2018; 9(1): 97–111.
Al-Anazi A F, Gates I D. Support vector regression to predict porosity and permeability: Effect of sample size. Comput. Geosci., 2012; 39: 64–76.
Tylutki T P, Fox D G, Durbal V M, Tedeschi L, Russell J B, Van Amburgh M, et al. Cornell net carbohydrate and protein system: A model for precision feeding of dairy cattle. Anim. Feed Sci. Technol., 2008; 143(1-4): 174–202.
Thiex N J. Journal of AOAC International. J. AOAC Int., 2009; 97(3): 643. doi: urn:issn:1060–3271.
Van Soest P J, Robertson J B, Lewis B A. Methods for dietary fiber, neutral detergent fiber, and nonstarch polysaccharides in relation to animal nutrition. J Dairy Sci, 1991; 74(10): 3583–3597.
Licitra G, Hernandez T M, Van Soest P J. Standardization of procedures for nitrogen fraction on ruminant feeds. Anim Feed Sci Technol, 1996; 57(4): 347–358.
Krishnamoorthy U, Sniffen C J, Stern M D, Van Soest P J. Evaluation of a mathematical model of rumen digestion and an in vitro simulation of rumen proteolysis to estimate the rumen-undegraded nitrogen content of feedstuffs. Br J Nutr, 1983; 50(3): 555–568.
Karkalas J. An improved enzymic method for the determination of native and modified starch. J. Sci. Food Agric., 2010; 36(10): 1019–1027.
Sniffen C J, O'Connor J D, Van Soest P J, Fox D G, Russell J B. A net carbohydrate and protein system for evaluating cattle diets: II. Carbohydrate and protein availability. J Anim Sci. 1992; 70(11): 3562–3577.
Xia K, Wang Z B, Xi W B, Yao Q, Li F G, Wang Y, et al. Effects of forage combinations on nutrient digestibility, utilization of energy and nitrogen of diets for dairy cows. Chin J Anim Nutr, 2012; 24(4): 681–688. (in Chinese)
Cortes C, Vapnik V. Support-vector networks. Mach. Learn., 1995; 20(3): 273–297.
Smola A, Schoelkopf B. A tutorial on support vector regression. Stat. & Comput., 2004; 14(3): 199–222.
Ma J, Theiler J, Perkins S. Accurate On-line Support Vector Regression. Neural Comput., 2003; 15(11): 2683–2703.
Vapnik V N. The nature of statistical learning theory. Springer, New York, 1995. doi: 10.1007/978-1-4757-2440-0.
Ghorbani M A, Zadeh H A, Isazadeh M, Terzi O. A comparative study of artificial neural network (MLP, RBF) and support vector machine models for river flow prediction. Environ. Earth Sci., 2016; 75(6): 476.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
IJABE is an international peer reviewed, open access journal, adopting Creative Commons Copyright Notices as follows.
Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:
- Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgement of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgement of its initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work (See The Effect of Open Access).